UAS – Commercial Outlook

In this edition of mba Aviation’s Insight Series, Bailey Cortright, Unmanned Aircraft Systems Intern, assesses the current state of the commercial UAS industry and provides insight on the outlook of the industry.

Key Concepts:

  • sUAS Growth
  • Commercial Applications of UAS
  • Technical Considerations of UAS
  • Regulatory Integration of UAS


Can the A350-900F Compete With Boeing’s Line Up?

In this edition of mba Aviation’s Insight Series, Anna Kopinski looks at the potential operating characteristics of the rumored A350-900F and how they compare in the Boeing-dominated freighter space.

Narrowbody Engine Q1 2021 Update: CFM and IAE Shop Visit Forecast and Values

In this edition of mba Aviation’s Insight Series, Garrick Rice, Director – Asset Valuations, provides an update regarding the Commercial Narrowbody Engine Market.  Discussing key engine value drivers and how they have been impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic.

Corporate Jet Market Conditions – 1H20

In this edition of mba Aviation’s Insight Series, mba Valuations Group explores the Corporate Jet Market.

How Many Aircraft did Major Airlines Operate Last Week?

In this edition of mba Aviation’s Insight Series, Ryan Cross investigates the fleet activity of major operators throughout the past week.

Key Concepts:

  • United Airlines leads the three US legacy carriers in terms of fleet activity, with 78% of its aircraft flying in the past week days—albeit with each aircraft typically operating fewer frequencies.
  • China’s large carriers are ahead of the rest of the world in fleet activation rates, with China Eastern Airlines and China Southern Airlines both operating a significant majority of their fleets.
  • The two main Australian carriers lag behind major operators elsewhere in the world.

U.S. Air Operator Safety Trend

In this edition of mba Aviation’s Insight Series, Danielle Hershey compares Part 121 Air Carrier Operations and Part 135 Air Taxi and Commuter Operations significant safety event trends.

Key Concepts:

  • Part 121 Air Carrier Operations continue to hold steady despite one significant event in 2019.
  • Although Part 135 Air Taxi and Commuter accidents with substantial damage have a decreasing trend over the past ten years, significant accidents continue to rise for Part 135 Operations.
  • Overall, Part 121 Air Carrier Operations continues to show a steady and stable trend within safety.


Evaluating the Airbus A220 and its Competition

In this edition of mba Aviation’s Insight Series, Ryan Cross analyzes how the A220 stacks up against its competitors.  He weighs the A220-100 against the Embraer E195-E2 and the A220-300 against the A319ceo and A319neo.

Key Concepts:

  • The A220-100 fills the niche for aircraft carrying about 110 to 125 passengers, but this type has sold in relatively small numbers.
  • Airbus’ orderbook reveals how the A319neo has sold poorly: the airframer counts 84 net orders for the type, amounting to just 1.1% of the entire A320neo family backlog.
  • The A319neo offers unappealing operational economics compared to the popular A320neo and A321neo.  This explains why the similar A220-300 has sold better.


Impact of Covid-19 on Capacity Planning and Revenues

In this edition of mba Aviation’s Insight Series, Steven Harokopus takes a look at the impact of Covid-19 on capacity planning and revenues.

The eight largest US air carriers by revenue have reduced capacity to varying degrees in response to lower demand and in an effort to save costs through smaller operations.

In the first half of 2020, the Subject Airline reduced their offering of available seat miles (ASM) approximately 43%, compared to the same period last year  Despite this drastic reduction in capacity, revenues per ASM decreased by an average of US¢2.6.

LCCs took advantage of their flexibility and maintained more capacity compared to their mainline competitors.  Southwest reduced capacity the least, cutting only 32% with a RASM reduction of US¢4.4.  Among the three mainline carriers American maintained the most capacity allowing them to overtake Delta in revenues for the first half of the year, even with a US¢3.2 reduction in RASM.

mba Insight: Evaluating the Boeing 787’s Backlog and Competition

In this edition of mba Aviation’s Insight Series, Ryan Cross analyzes the expected production schedule for each 787 series, reviews the pace of deliveries of the 767 and A330ceo programs, and studies 787 deliveries alongside those of its competitors from Airbus.

Key Concepts:

  • Due to the disruption caused to commercial aviation by the COVID-19 pandemic, Boeing cut production of the 787 Dreamliner aircraft to six aircraft per month.
  • Boeing has already delivered 975 aircraft (64.6%) of the existing 787 orderbook, leaving a backlog of 535 aircraft.
  • The pace of 787 deliveries demonstrates the aircraft’s first-to-market advantage over its competitors from Airbus, the A330neo and A350.